%0 Journal Article
%T Predicting the Number of Housing Units in Tehran toward Economic Competitiveness
%J Journal of Urban Ecology Researches
%I Payame Noor University
%Z 2538-3930
%A Afsahhosseini, Fatemehalsadat
%A Zabihi, Hossein
%A jahanshahloo, laala
%D 2019
%\ 09/23/2019
%V 10
%N 20
%P 97-110
%! Predicting the Number of Housing Units in Tehran toward Economic Competitiveness
%K Prediction Housing
%K economic competitiveness
%K Land Supply
%K urban development
%K Tehran
%R 10.30473/grup.2020.7081
%X The theory of urban competitiveness is based on Porter Diamond's theory. There is a link between housing that has a large share of the total economy and urban economic competitiveness.The adequacy of the supply and allocation of land for the development of new housing, as well as the importance of maintaining cheap land, which can be maintained by local power for urban development, is evident. In this research, the purpose of the estimation of the number of residential units needed to provide residential units in Tehran in 1400 Hijri. The research method of this paper is based on information-based analytical-descriptive. Considering that the population is the main cause of creating a potential demand for housing, first the population of Tehran was estimated for 1400 using three nonlinear polynomial quadratic models, Gampartz and logistic. Since the comprehensive plan of each city is the city's most important project, population estimates of second-order polygonal models and Gampartz were considered due to their close proximity to the project. Then, using the logistic model, which was a suitable method for estimating the number of residential units in a citythat the number of residential units was estimated based on these three population estimates. The number of residential units obtained from the Gompertz model based on the population was 663141 which can be as a measure for decision making and urban future planning in order to achieve economic competitiveness of the city.
%U https://grup.journals.pnu.ac.ir/article_7081_a64f8c79a85059e0b3bd363c0f013c66.pdf