آینده‌پژوهی عوامل پیشران بر تحقق‌پذیری شهر کم‌کربن: مطالعه موردی کلان‌شهر تبریز

نوع مقاله : علمی-پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 کارشناسی ارشد، گروه برنامه‌ریزی شهری و منطقه‌ای، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران.

2 دانشیار، گروه برنامه‌ریزی شهری و منطقه‌ای، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران.

3 دانشیار، گروه برنامه‌ریزی شهری و منطقه‌ای، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران

چکیده

تغییرات اقلیمی، شهرها و انسان‌ها را با خطرات جدی مواجه ساخته و پیامدهای ناگواری به همراه دارد. مهم‌ترین عامل این تغییرات، انتشار گازهای گلخانه‌ای است که شهرها در تولید آن نقش بسزایی دارند. کلان‌شهر تبریز نیز به دلیل وجود مراکز صنعتی، تردد روزانه هزاران خودرو و مصرف میلیون‌ها لیتر بنزین، با آلودگی هوا و انتشار گازهای گلخانه‌ای دست‌به‌گریبان است. هدف این پژوهش، شناسایی و تحلیل عوامل کلیدی مؤثر بر تحقق توسعه شهری کم‌کربن در تبریز است. پژوهش حاضر با استفاده از روش توصیفی-تحلیلی و نرم‌افزار MICMAC، روابط میان ۲۸ عامل کلیدی را بررسی می‌کند. جامعه آماری شامل کارشناسان و متخصصان حوزه شهرسازی و محیط‌ زیست بود که با روش نمونه‌گیری هدفمند، ۳۰ نفر به‌عنوان نمونه انتخاب شدند. داده‌های پژوهش از طریق مرور ادبیات، مصاحبه با خبرگان و پرسشنامه گردآوری و پس از تحلیل، عوامل دسته‌بندی شدند. نتایج پژوهش نشان داد که حفاظت و توسعه منابع طبیعی، استفاده از انرژی تجدیدپذیر، میزان بالای سفرهای پیاده و پیاده‌روی، ساختار شهری خرد مقیاس و حفاظت از اکوسیستم، پیشران‌های تحقق توسعه شهری کم‌کربن در تبریز هستند. این پژوهش همچنین نشان داد که هم‌افزایی میان عوامل مختلف می‌تواند تأثیرات مثبتی در توسعه پایدار شهر تبریز داشته باشد. با توجه به نتایج پژوهش، گذار به شهر کم‌کربن در تبریز نیازمند توجه به عوامل کلیدی شناسایی ‌شده و تدوین سیاست‌های جامع و یکپارچه است؛ سیاست‌هایی که بتوانند از طریق حفاظت از منابع طبیعی، توسعه انرژی‌های تجدیدپذیر و ایجاد زیرساخت‌های پایدار، زمینه را برای کاهش انتشار کربن و بهبود کیفیت زندگی شهروندان فراهم کنند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله [English]

Future Study of Key Drivers for Achieving a Low-Carbon City: A Case Study of Tabriz Metropolis

نویسندگان [English]

  • Behnam Aali 1
  • Firouz Jafari 2
  • Iraj Teymuri 3
1 MSc., Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Tabriz University, Tabriz, Iran.
2 Associate Professor, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Tabriz University, Tabriz, Iran
3 Associate Professor, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Tabriz University, Tabriz, Iran.
چکیده [English]

Climate change poses a serious threat to cities and their inhabitants. The primary driver of this change is the emission and production of greenhouse gases, where cities play a vital role. Tabriz, a metropolis with industrial centers, daily traffic of thousands of vehicles, and consumption of millions of liters of gasoline, faces significant challenges related to air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. This research aims to identify and analyze the key factors influencing the realization of low-carbon urban development in Tabriz. Employing a descriptive-analytical methodology and MICMAC software, the study examines the relationships among 28 key factors. The statistical population comprised experts and specialists in urban planning and environmental science, from which a sample of 30 individuals was selected using a targeted sampling method. Data were collected through a literature review, expert interviews, and questionnaires. Following analysis, the factors were classified. The results indicate that the protection and development of natural resources, the use of renewable energy, increased walking and pedestrian trips, a small-scale urban structure, and ecosystem protection are key drivers for achieving low-carbon urban development in Tabriz. Moreover, the research demonstrates that synergy among these factors can positively impact the city's sustainable development. Therefore, Tabriz's transition to a low-carbon city requires attention to these identified key factors and the development of comprehensive and integrated policies. These policies should focus on incentivizing renewable energy development, promoting compact urban design, and creating sustainable infrastructure to reduce carbon emissions and improve the quality of life for Tabriz's citizens.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Sustainable development
  • Low-Carbon
  • Future Study
  • Micmac
  • Tabriz

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