نوع مقاله : علمی-پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استاد، گروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه ارومیه، ارومیه، ایران
2 دانشجوی دکتری برنامهریزی آمایش سرزمین، گروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه ارومیه، ارومیه، ایران.
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The main objective of research is to develop effective scenarios for reducing the imbalance between household income and expenses in urban households within West Azarbaijan Province. The research methodology is descriptive-analytical with an applied purpose. Data were collected through library and field research. For gathering baseline and statistical data, statistical yearbooks and higher-level documents were used, while analytical data were obtained via a self-designed questionnaire based on standards of MICMAC software and ScenarioWizard. The study area is West Azerbaijan Province, covering a 12-year period from 2011 to 2023. The statistical population comprised 15 experts in the fields of spatial planning and economics, and were purposefully selected. Data analysis was conducted quantitatively, employing a futures studies approach, using GIS, MICMAC, and ScenarioWizard software. The findings indicate that an 10.18% reduction in the growth rate of household food and tobacco expenses clearly reflects a decline in household purchasing power. This decrease may be due to rising non-food expenses, particularly in housing, medical services, and education. Households are compelled to increase their share of non-food expenses, leading to a reduction in food and tobacco expenditures. Under such conditions, households might tend to purchase cheaper goods and services and compromise on food quality. This situation signifies an income and expenditure imbalance in urban households, which, based on five key factors—age of the household head, government investment, development of new industries and occupations, power distribution, and international agreements—has led to the formulation of three scenarios.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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