ارزیابی پایداری شهرستان‌های استان مازندران طی سال‌های 1385 و 1400

مرصوصی, نفیسه; اسداله تبار, سیده نفیسه

doi:10.30473/grup.2024.68563.2798

ارزیابی پایداری شهرستان‌های استان مازندران طی سال‌های 1385 و 1400

نوع مقاله : علمی-پژوهشی

نویسندگان

¹ استاد، گروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران.

² دانشجوی دکتری، گروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران.

10.30473/grup.2024.68563.2798

چکیده

مدیریت مطلوب شهری و منطقه‌ای و توازن در میزان توسعه شهرها از مسائل پیشروی برنامه‌ریزان‌ شهری است. در همین راستا، هدف اصلی این پژوهش سنجش پایداری اقتصادی و اجتماعی شهرستان‌های استان مازندران طی سرشماری سال‌های 1385 و 1400 است. پژوهش حاضر به لحاظ هدف از نوع کاربردی و به لحاظ ماهیت از نوع توصیفی-تحلیلی است. روش تحلیل کمی و نوع استدلال به کار رفته از نوع علی-قیاسی است. داده‌ها و اطلاعات موردنیاز با استفاده از آمارنامه‌های آماری و سرشماری 1385 و 1400 گردآوری شده است. جامعه آماری پژوهش به 30 نفر از اساتید و خبرگان حوزه برنامه‌ریزی شهری به روش نمونه‌گیری هدفمند است. پایایی پرسشنامه با ا‌ستفاده از پیش‌آزمون و آزمون‌ آلفای‌کرونباخ با ضریب 812/0 مورد تائید قرار گرفت. برای تجزیه و تحلیل داده‌ها و اطلاعات به‌دست آمده از مدل‌های بارومتر‌ پایداری، رادار، کپ‌لند و الکتر استفاده گردیده است. نتایج حاصل از تکنیک‌های سنجش پایداری نشان ‌داد شهرستان‌های ساری، بابل، آمل، قائم‌شهر، تنکابن و چالوس از رتبه‌های بالاتری در ابعاد پایداری برخوردارند. همچنین شهرستان‌های استان مازندران پایداری متفاوتی داشته است و معضل ناپایداری، از نظر اندازه بیش‌تر به شهرهایی با اندازه کوچک و متوسط و از لحاظ شاخص‌ها بیش‌تر به مسائل اقتصادی بازمی‌گردد. لذا می‌توان با اجرای راهکارهای حاصل از این پژوهش، پایداری و توسعه‌یافتگی شهرها را فراهم ساخت.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری

عنوان مقاله [English]

Evaluation of the Stability of the Cities of Mazandaran Province During the Years 2006 and 2021

نویسندگان [English]

Nafiseh Marsousi ¹
Nafiseh Asadoullahtabar ²

¹ Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Payam Noor University, Tehran, Iran.

² Ph.D Student, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Payam Noor University, Tehran, Iran.

چکیده [English]

One of the challenges faced by urban planners is optimal urban and regional management and balance in the development of cities. In this regard, the main goal of this research is to measure the economic and social stability of the cities of Mazandaran province during the census of 2006 and 2021. The current research is applied in terms of its purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of its nature. The method of quantitative analysis and the type of reasoning used is causal-inferential. The required data and information have been collected using the statistics and census of 2006 and 2021. The statistical population of the research is 30 professors and experts in the field of urban planning using a targeted sampling method. The reliability of the questionnaire was confirmed using the pre-test and Cronbach's alpha test with a coefficient of 0.812. In order to analyze the obtained data and information, stability barometer, radar, Copeland and Elektro models have been used. The results of sustainability measurement techniques showed that the cities of Sari, Babol, Amol, Qaimshahr, Tonkabon and Chalus have higher ranks in terms of sustainability. Also, the cities of Mazandaran province have had different stability, and the problem of instability is more related to small and medium-sized cities in terms of size, and more related to economic issues in terms of indicators. Therefore, it is possible to provide the stability and development of cities by implementing the solutions obtained from this research.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

Sustainability
Urban Sustainability
Economic Sustainability
Social Sustainability
Mazandaran Province

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