تأثیر مهاجرت بر توسعه شهری با استفاده از مدلSWOT، مورد مطالعه: شهر بابل

نصیری هندخاله, اسماعیل; حسینی فر, سید محسن; احمدی, علی

تأثیر مهاجرت بر توسعه شهری با استفاده از مدلSWOT، مورد مطالعه: شهر بابل

نوع مقاله : علمی-پژوهشی

نویسندگان

¹ دانشیار گروه جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری - دانشگاه پیام نور

² دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری- دانشگاه پیام نور

³ دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری دانشگاخ پیام نور/ ودرس دانشگاه آزاد بانه

چکیده

شهرها بستر مهم‌ترین فعالیت‌های اجتماعی، اقتصادی، سیاسی و فرهنگی محسوب می‌شوند. مطالعه روند رشد شهرنشینی نشان دهنده این موضوع است که رشد جمعیت شهری به سرعت در حال افزایش بوده و شهرها با نرخ بالای رشد جمعیت مواجه و تاکنون نیز قادر به کنترل مشکلات ناشی از این رشد نبوده اند. پدیده مهاجرت امروزه به ‌عنوان یکی از مهم‌ترین و پیچیده‌ترین معضلات کشورهای جهان سوم مطرح است. بدیهی است کشور ما نیز از این مسائل به دور نبوده است. هدف پژوهش حاضر بررسی تأثیرات مهاجرت بر توسعه شهر بابل هست. روش تحقیق در پژوهش حاضر توصیفی- تحلیلی بوده و تعداد 322 به عنوان حجم نمونه با استفاده از روش نمونه‌گیری کوکران به ‌دست آمده است. جهت تجزیه‌ و تحلیل داده‌های به ‌دست آمده از نرم‌افزارهای SPSS و مدل SWOT استفاده شده است. نتایج به ‌دست آمده از این پژوهش نشان می‌دهد که باید در نحوه اجرای طرح‌های احیاء شهری با بازنگری پایداری به‌ عنوان عاملی مهم در پایداری پروژه‌های شهری در نظر گرفته شود. با توجه به نتایج تجزیه ‌و تحلیل پرسشنامه‌ها با مدل سوآت از دیدگاه کارشناسان، برنامه‌ریزان، مسئولان و مدیران شهر بابل نشان می‌دهد که نقاط ضعف و تهدیدات مهاجرت بر توسعه شهر بسیار بیش‌تر از نقاط قوت و فرصت‌های آن می‌باشد. بنابراین مهاجرت به شهر باعث ناپایداری در شهر شده و راه رسیدن به توسعه پایدار را مشکل کرده است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

20.1001.1.25383930.1395.7.14.4.6

عنوان مقاله [English]

The Impact of Migration on Urban Development Using SWOT, Case study: Babol city

نویسندگان [English]

Esmaeil Nasiri Hendeh Khaleh ¹
Seyed Mohsen Hoseinifar ²
Ali Ahmadi ³

¹ Asociate Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, University of Payame Noor

² Ph.D Student Geography and Urban Planning , University of Payame Noor

³ Ph.D Student Geography and Urban Planning University of Payame Noor, Teacher of Azad and Elmi-Karbordi University in Baneh

چکیده [English]

Cities are considered the context of the most important social, economic, political, and cultural activities. The study of urbanization process indicates that urban population is rapidly growing and cities face high rates of population growth, failing to control the caused problems so far. The phenomenon of migration is today considered as one of the most important and complicated problems in the Third World countries. Obviously, Iran has been affected by this issue as well. The purpose of this study was to investigate the impacts of migration on Babol development. This study was descriptive-analytical cross-sectional research. Through Cochran's sampling method, 322 questionnaires were administered. In order to analyze the data obtained, SPSS software and SWOT model were used. The study findings revealed that sustainability as an important factor in sustainable urban projects must be considered in the implementation of urban renovation plans. According to the results of the questionnaires gained by SWOT model, the views of experts, planners, officials and directors of Babol indicated that the weaknesses and threats of migration on the development of the city is much more than its strengths and opportunities, and so migration to the city causes instability and makes it difficult to achieve sustainable development.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

stability
urban development
Sustainable Development
Migration
SWOT Model
Babol

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